Correct Score Predictions

The most likely final scoreline for every upcoming top-league fixture, worked out from how many goals each team scores and concedes per game plus home advantage. Each one also shows the chance of a home win, draw or away win.

How to read this (and an honest warning): these are statistical estimates, not insider tips. Football is unpredictable and no site can give you a "100% sure" or guaranteed correct score - anyone who claims to is lying. Use this as analysis, for entertainment. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, take a break.

Premier League

Liverpool0 - 2Brighton Hove
Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 WAT9% home · 16% draw · 74% awayOther likely: 0-2 (13%) , 0-1 (11%) , 0-3 (10%)
Crystal Palace1 - 2Newcastle
Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 WAT36% home · 20% draw · 44% awayOther likely: 1-2 (7%) , 2-2 (7%) , 1-1 (7%)
Man United2 - 1Bournemouth
Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 WAT58% home · 21% draw · 21% awayOther likely: 2-1 (10%) , 1-1 (10%) , 2-0 (8%)
Hull City1 - 1Brentford
Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 WAT31% home · 29% draw · 40% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 0-1 (13%) , 1-0 (11%)
Sunderland0 - 1Leeds United
Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 WAT13% home · 24% draw · 63% awayOther likely: 0-1 (18%) , 0-2 (15%) , 0-0 (11%)
Chelsea2 - 1Man United
Sat 31 Oct, 13:30 WAT52% home · 20% draw · 28% awayOther likely: 2-1 (8%) , 1-1 (7%) , 2-2 (7%)
Man City1 - 2Brighton Hove
Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 WAT22% home · 20% draw · 58% awayOther likely: 1-2 (9%) , 1-1 (8%) , 1-3 (7%)
Bournemouth0 - 1Leeds United
Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 WAT21% home · 26% draw · 53% awayOther likely: 0-1 (14%) , 1-1 (12%) , 0-2 (11%)
Coventry City1 - 1Sunderland
Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 WAT39% home · 29% draw · 32% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 1-0 (13%) , 0-1 (12%)
Hull City1 - 0Ipswich Town
Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 WAT57% home · 23% draw · 20% awayOther likely: 1-0 (12%) , 1-1 (11%) , 2-0 (10%)
Brentford1 - 0Nottingham
Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 WAT68% home · 22% draw · 11% awayOther likely: 1-0 (17%) , 2-0 (16%) , 0-0 (10%)
Tottenham1 - 1Crystal Palace
Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 WAT57% home · 22% draw · 20% awayOther likely: 1-1 (11%) , 1-0 (10%) , 2-1 (10%)
Aston Villa1 - 0Fulham
Sat 31 Oct, 21:00 WAT38% home · 30% draw · 31% awayOther likely: 1-0 (14%) , 1-1 (13%) , 0-0 (13%)
Liverpool0 - 1Arsenal
Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 WAT20% home · 31% draw · 49% awayOther likely: 0-1 (19%) , 0-0 (17%) , 1-1 (12%)
Newcastle1 - 1Everton
Mon 2 Nov, 21:00 WAT36% home · 27% draw · 37% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 0-1 (10%) , 1-0 (10%)

LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano1 - 1Elche
Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 WAT35% home · 22% draw · 43% awayOther likely: 1-1 (9%) , 1-2 (9%) , 2-1 (8%)
Santander1 - 1Espanyol
Sat 24 Oct, 15:15 WAT32% home · 23% draw · 45% awayOther likely: 1-1 (10%) , 1-2 (9%) , 2-1 (7%)
Valencia0 - 1Villarreal
Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 WAT18% home · 26% draw · 56% awayOther likely: 0-1 (16%) , 0-2 (12%) , 1-1 (12%)
Atleti1 - 0Deportivo
Sat 24 Oct, 20:00 WAT68% home · 21% draw · 11% awayOther likely: 1-0 (16%) , 2-0 (15%) , 1-1 (10%)
Athletic0 - 0Getafe
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 WAT46% home · 39% draw · 15% awayOther likely: 0-0 (29%) , 1-0 (25%) , 2-0 (11%)
Celta1 - 0Real Betis
Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 WAT46% home · 29% draw · 24% awayOther likely: 1-0 (16%) , 1-1 (13%) , 0-0 (13%)
Real Sociedad2 - 1Levante
Sun 25 Oct, 18:30 WAT53% home · 19% draw · 28% awayOther likely: 2-1 (7%) , 2-2 (7%) , 3-1 (6%)
Barça3 - 1Real Madrid
Sun 25 Oct, 21:00 WAT68% home · 15% draw · 16% awayOther likely: 3-1 (8%) , 2-1 (7%) , 4-1 (6%)
Sevilla FC2 - 1Osasuna
Mon 26 Oct, 21:00 WAT61% home · 20% draw · 19% awayOther likely: 2-1 (10%) , 1-1 (9%) , 2-0 (8%)
Villarreal1 - 0Espanyol
Fri 30 Oct, 21:00 WAT49% home · 26% draw · 25% awayOther likely: 1-0 (12%) , 1-1 (12%) , 2-0 (9%)
Levante0 - 2Atleti
Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 WAT15% home · 19% draw · 66% awayOther likely: 0-2 (10%) , 1-2 (10%) , 0-1 (9%)
Rayo Vallecano0 - 1Celta
Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 WAT19% home · 27% draw · 54% awayOther likely: 0-1 (16%) , 1-1 (12%) , 0-2 (12%)
Real Betis2 - 0Málaga
Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 WAT77% home · 15% draw · 8% awayOther likely: 2-0 (14%) , 1-0 (11%) , 3-0 (11%)
Barça3 - 0Alavés
Sat 31 Oct, 21:00 WAT85% home · 10% draw · 6% awayOther likely: 3-0 (10%) , 2-0 (9%) , 4-0 (9%)
Getafe0 - 1Sevilla FC
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 WAT23% home · 31% draw · 45% awayOther likely: 0-1 (18%) , 0-0 (16%) , 1-1 (13%)
Santander1 - 3Real Madrid
Sun 1 Nov, 16:15 WAT6% home · 9% draw · 84% awayOther likely: 1-3 (8%) , 1-4 (8%) , 0-3 (7%)
Elche1 - 0Valencia
Sun 1 Nov, 18:30 WAT62% home · 23% draw · 15% awayOther likely: 1-0 (15%) , 2-0 (13%) , 1-1 (11%)
Athletic1 - 1Real Sociedad
Sun 1 Nov, 21:00 WAT39% home · 26% draw · 34% awayOther likely: 1-1 (12%) , 1-0 (10%) , 0-1 (9%)
Deportivo1 - 0Osasuna
Mon 2 Nov, 21:00 WAT61% home · 22% draw · 17% awayOther likely: 1-0 (12%) , 2-0 (12%) , 1-1 (10%)

Serie A

Cagliari0 - 0Bologna
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 WAT31% home · 39% draw · 30% awayOther likely: 0-0 (26%) , 1-0 (18%) , 0-1 (17%)
Como 19072 - 0Sassuolo
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 WAT75% home · 15% draw · 9% awayOther likely: 2-0 (12%) , 3-0 (10%) , 2-1 (9%)
Napoli0 - 1Roma
Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 WAT19% home · 23% draw · 58% awayOther likely: 0-1 (12%) , 1-1 (11%) , 0-2 (11%)
Lazio2 - 0Parma
Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 WAT89% home · 9% draw · 2% awayOther likely: 2-0 (20%) , 3-0 (18%) , 1-0 (14%)
Inter4 - 0Fiorentina
Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 WAT91% home · 6% draw · 3% awayOther likely: 4-0 (9%) , 5-0 (9%) , 3-0 (8%)
Atalanta1 - 1Frosinone
Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 WAT30% home · 23% draw · 47% awayOther likely: 1-1 (11%) , 1-2 (9%) , 0-1 (8%)
Genoa1 - 0Venezia FC
Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 WAT42% home · 29% draw · 29% awayOther likely: 1-0 (14%) , 1-1 (13%) , 0-0 (12%)
Lecce1 - 1Juventus
Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 WAT30% home · 27% draw · 42% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 0-1 (12%) , 1-0 (10%)
Udinese0 - 2Milan
Sun 25 Oct, 20:45 WAT11% home · 15% draw · 75% awayOther likely: 0-2 (10%) , 1-2 (9%) , 0-3 (9%)
Sassuolo0 - 2Lazio
Tue 27 Oct, 18:30 WAT9% home · 16% draw · 75% awayOther likely: 0-2 (13%) , 0-1 (11%) , 0-3 (11%)
Roma1 - 0Cagliari
Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 WAT77% home · 18% draw · 5% awayOther likely: 1-0 (20%) , 2-0 (19%) , 3-0 (13%)
Torino1 - 1Como 1907
Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 WAT27% home · 26% draw · 46% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 0-1 (12%) , 1-2 (9%)
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 WAT67% home · 21% draw · 11% awayOther likely: 1-0 (16%) , 2-0 (15%) , 1-1 (10%)
Venezia FC0 - 4Inter
Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 WAT4% home · 7% draw · 90% awayOther likely: 0-4 (10%) , 0-3 (10%) , 0-5 (8%)
Parma1 - 1Udinese
Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 WAT27% home · 26% draw · 46% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 0-1 (12%) , 1-2 (9%)
Genoa0 - 1Juventus
Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 WAT16% home · 27% draw · 57% awayOther likely: 0-1 (19%) , 0-2 (13%) , 0-0 (13%)
Monza1 - 2Napoli
Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 WAT31% home · 21% draw · 49% awayOther likely: 1-2 (8%) , 1-1 (8%) , 2-2 (7%)
Frosinone2 - 0Lecce
Thu 29 Oct, 18:30 WAT67% home · 18% draw · 15% awayOther likely: 2-0 (10%) , 2-1 (10%) , 1-0 (8%)
Fiorentina1 - 2Atalanta
Thu 29 Oct, 20:45 WAT24% home · 21% draw · 55% awayOther likely: 1-2 (10%) , 1-1 (9%) , 0-2 (7%)
Bologna1 - 1Monza
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 WAT43% home · 24% draw · 33% awayOther likely: 1-1 (11%) , 2-1 (9%) , 1-0 (8%)
Udinese0 - 3Roma
Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 WAT5% home · 10% draw · 85% awayOther likely: 0-3 (11%) , 0-2 (11%) , 0-4 (9%)
Milan1 - 1Inter
Sat 31 Oct, 20:45 WAT41% home · 22% draw · 37% awayOther likely: 1-1 (9%) , 2-1 (8%) , 1-2 (8%)
Como 19072 - 0Venezia FC
Sun 1 Nov, 12:30 WAT87% home · 10% draw · 3% awayOther likely: 2-0 (15%) , 3-0 (15%) , 4-0 (11%)
Frosinone1 - 1Torino
Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 WAT52% home · 23% draw · 26% awayOther likely: 1-1 (10%) , 2-1 (10%) , 1-0 (8%)
Lazio1 - 0Cagliari
Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 WAT72% home · 22% draw · 6% awayOther likely: 1-0 (24%) , 2-0 (20%) , 0-0 (15%)
Lecce1 - 0Genoa
Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 WAT62% home · 23% draw · 15% awayOther likely: 1-0 (15%) , 2-0 (13%) , 1-1 (11%)
Juventus1 - 1Napoli
Sun 1 Nov, 20:45 WAT37% home · 28% draw · 34% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 1-0 (12%) , 0-1 (11%)
Sassuolo2 - 1Fiorentina
Mon 2 Nov, 18:30 WAT64% home · 17% draw · 18% awayOther likely: 2-1 (9%) , 3-1 (8%) , 1-1 (7%)
Atalanta1 - 0Parma
Mon 2 Nov, 20:45 WAT70% home · 20% draw · 10% awayOther likely: 1-0 (15%) , 2-0 (15%) , 3-0 (10%)

Bundesliga

Mainz2 - 2Bremen
Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 WAT54% home · 18% draw · 27% awayOther likely: 2-2 (7%) , 2-1 (7%) , 3-2 (6%)
1. FC Köln0 - 0Schalke
Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 WAT37% home · 42% draw · 21% awayOther likely: 0-0 (31%) , 1-0 (22%) , 0-1 (14%)
RB Leipzig3 - 1Elversberg
Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 WAT79% home · 12% draw · 10% awayOther likely: 3-1 (8%) , 4-1 (7%) , 2-1 (6%)
SC Paderborn1 - 0HSV
Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 WAT52% home · 31% draw · 17% awayOther likely: 1-0 (21%) , 0-0 (17%) , 2-0 (13%)
Augsburg3 - 0Union Berlin
Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 WAT88% home · 8% draw · 4% awayOther likely: 3-0 (10%) , 4-0 (10%) , 3-1 (8%)
Dortmund2 - 0Frankfurt
Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 WAT84% home · 12% draw · 4% awayOther likely: 2-0 (17%) , 3-0 (15%) , 1-0 (13%)
Hoffenheim1 - 3Leverkusen
Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 WAT19% home · 16% draw · 65% awayOther likely: 1-3 (7%) , 1-2 (7%) , 2-3 (6%)
Freiburg1 - 1Bayern
Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 WAT27% home · 23% draw · 51% awayOther likely: 1-1 (10%) , 1-2 (10%) , 0-1 (8%)
Elversberg1 - 2Mainz
Fri 30 Oct, 20:30 WAT31% home · 19% draw · 49% awayOther likely: 1-2 (7%) , 2-2 (7%) , 1-3 (6%)
M'gladbach1 - 1SC Paderborn
Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 WAT34% home · 26% draw · 40% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 0-1 (10%) , 1-0 (9%)
Schalke0 - 1RB Leipzig
Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 WAT14% home · 27% draw · 59% awayOther likely: 0-1 (20%) , 0-2 (14%) , 0-0 (14%)
Augsburg1 - 2Freiburg
Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 WAT24% home · 20% draw · 56% awayOther likely: 1-2 (9%) , 1-1 (8%) , 1-3 (7%)
Bremen3 - 1Hoffenheim
Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 WAT61% home · 17% draw · 22% awayOther likely: 3-1 (7%) , 2-1 (7%) , 3-2 (6%)
Leverkusen3 - 1Stuttgart
Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 WAT76% home · 14% draw · 10% awayOther likely: 3-1 (9%) , 2-1 (8%) , 3-0 (8%)
Bayern1 - 0Dortmund
Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 WAT50% home · 29% draw · 21% awayOther likely: 1-0 (17%) , 0-0 (13%) , 1-1 (12%)
Union Berlin0 - 11. FC Köln
Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 WAT21% home · 26% draw · 53% awayOther likely: 0-1 (15%) , 1-1 (12%) , 0-2 (11%)
Frankfurt2 - 1HSV
Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 WAT60% home · 21% draw · 19% awayOther likely: 2-1 (10%) , 1-1 (10%) , 2-0 (9%)

Ligue 1

RC Lens1 - 1Paris FC
Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 WAT42% home · 24% draw · 34% awayOther likely: 1-1 (11%) , 2-1 (9%) , 1-2 (8%)
Monaco0 - 0Lille
Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 WAT32% home · 37% draw · 31% awayOther likely: 0-0 (23%) , 1-0 (17%) , 0-1 (17%)
Marseille2 - 0Le Havre
Sun 25 Oct, 17:15 WAT75% home · 17% draw · 8% awayOther likely: 2-0 (15%) , 1-0 (13%) , 3-0 (11%)
Stade Rennais3 - 2Strasbourg
Sun 25 Oct, 17:15 WAT61% home · 16% draw · 22% awayOther likely: 3-2 (6%) , 3-1 (6%) , 2-2 (6%)
Angers SCO0 - 1Lorient
Sun 25 Oct, 17:15 WAT23% home · 29% draw · 47% awayOther likely: 0-1 (16%) , 1-1 (13%) , 0-0 (13%)
Toulouse2 - 0Troyes
Sun 25 Oct, 17:15 WAT81% home · 12% draw · 6% awayOther likely: 2-0 (12%) , 3-0 (12%) , 1-0 (9%)
Auxerre2 - 2Le Mans
Sun 25 Oct, 17:15 WAT47% home · 20% draw · 34% awayOther likely: 2-2 (7%) , 2-1 (7%) , 1-2 (6%)
PSG1 - 1Olympique Lyon
Mon 26 Oct, 20:30 WAT28% home · 27% draw · 46% awayOther likely: 1-1 (13%) , 0-1 (12%) , 1-0 (9%)
Le Havre0 - 1PSG
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 WAT13% home · 22% draw · 66% awayOther likely: 0-1 (15%) , 0-2 (14%) , 1-1 (10%)
Lille1 - 0RC Lens
Fri 30 Oct, 21:05 WAT54% home · 26% draw · 20% awayOther likely: 1-0 (14%) , 1-1 (12%) , 2-0 (11%)
Nice1 - 1Stade Rennais
Sat 31 Oct, 17:15 WAT35% home · 24% draw · 41% awayOther likely: 1-1 (11%) , 1-2 (9%) , 2-1 (8%)
Olympique Lyon2 - 0Angers SCO
Sat 31 Oct, 20:45 WAT84% home · 11% draw · 5% awayOther likely: 2-0 (14%) , 3-0 (13%) , 1-0 (10%)
Lorient1 - 0Brest
Sat 31 Oct, 20:45 WAT40% home · 31% draw · 29% awayOther likely: 1-0 (15%) , 0-0 (14%) , 1-1 (13%)
Troyes1 - 1Le Mans
Sat 31 Oct, 20:45 WAT21% home · 22% draw · 56% awayOther likely: 1-1 (10%) , 1-2 (10%) , 0-1 (9%)
Strasbourg3 - 1Auxerre
Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 WAT58% home · 17% draw · 25% awayOther likely: 3-1 (6%) , 2-1 (6%) , 3-2 (6%)
Paris FC1 - 0Monaco
Sun 1 Nov, 17:15 WAT36% home · 31% draw · 33% awayOther likely: 1-0 (14%) , 0-0 (14%) , 1-1 (14%)
Marseille2 - 1Toulouse
Sun 1 Nov, 20:45 WAT56% home · 20% draw · 24% awayOther likely: 2-1 (9%) , 1-1 (8%) , 3-1 (7%)

Model: each team's goals-for and goals-against per game vs the league average, with a home-advantage adjustment, turned into the most probable scoreline (a Poisson model). Updated from live data. Want the reasoning behind each pick? See our football predictions and this week's pool coupon.

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